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Déjà vu all
over again
By James A Ziegler, Dealer Advocate
December 2004
I picked him
after school at five o’clock in the afternoon. My 16 year-old
son, Zach is on the varsity wrestling team again this year so
they are staying late everyday. He thought it was a little
strange that I would take off early from work since this was
usually his mother’s area of responsibility. You see, somehow my
family has gotten the mistaken impression I am a workaholic,
which, of course couldn’t be farther from the truth.
Now, those of you that follow this
column are aware I ordered him a new, silver 2005 Mustang GT.
Well, it was here...hidden in the garage...and he wasn’t
expecting it for another week or so.
I made up an excuse to call my wife
on the cell phone when we were less than a block away so she
could be ready with the camera. We executed the entire operation
flawlessly...he didn’t suspect a thing.
As we pulled into the driveway, I
parked the Escalade right next to the garage door and started an
intense conversation with him about his grades. Really, all I
was doing was distracting him so he was looking at me and not at
the garage. I hit the automatic garage door opener while his
back was turned to it. When he finally turned to get out of the
car, he turned and saw it, a scream rang out and his face was
pure elation. Jumping around...hugging his mother and
me...climbing in the car...opening the hood and trunk...playing
with the sound system; it made me so happy I got a little
teary=eyed myself.
Never, never have I seen him as
happy and as excited as he was that day. It brought back intense
memories flashing through my mind. You see folks; my first car
was a 1966 Ford Mustang with a 289 V8.
Earlier that morning I had spoken to
my friend and client, David Karangu, who is the Ford dealer at
Fairway Ford in Augusta, Georgia. David had the car delivered to
me in Atlanta on a flatbed truck and I signed the papers at my
desk. He made sure that every detail was perfect on my son’s new
Mustang. We were fortunate to be able to get one of the very
first 2005 Mustang GTs in the country thanks to a little nudge
from my friend, Jim O’Connor.
I had an opportunity to drive the
car myself for a couple of hours before I took it home.
Incredible! Ford has a winner here that will reawaken the brand.
The retro styling isn’t overdone and power and performance are
solid. The statement is bold. When the car showed up at my
office, by coincidence, one of the executives in my building is
driving a fully-restored 1965 Mustang Convertible. He was out
there with his digital camera taking pictures of the two cars
side-by-side...then he called all of his friends in the Mustang
Club. Within an hour we had drawn a huge crowd of raving fans.
I drove it to lunch and drew another
crowd on the parking lot of the restaurant...people slowing down
in traffic, coming along side and pointing and waving. The
really cool thing that happened was when a real 1967 model
pulled up right beside me. The guy driving was checking out the
new model. The car is a showstopper.
On the other hand, here are some
excerpts I wrote in this magazine, October issue, in an article
titled Anxiety...Weathering the Storm
Well, Ford Motor Company is banking
on the new Ford 500 platform to lift up the company. Sorry
folks, I know it's a great car technologically, but I just don't
see it.
... But not Ford Motor Company; it
has pinned the hopes of the future of the company on another
(yawn) jellybean car with a number instead of a name.
...On the other hand...I think the
Freestyle Sport Wagon has a reasonably good chance to be a real
winner... Of course the new Mustang and the F150 are world-class
contenders that will rock the market.
Well, evidently Steve Lyons and
company should have listened to me earlier. In the October 18th
issue of the Snooze, my friend, Amy Wilson, wrote an article
about the fact that Ford is going to build more Freestyles and
less Ford Five Hundreds.
Ford Division President Steve Lyons
was quoted as saying... “The
market's surprise demand for the Freestyle is triggering the mix
adjustment...We thought it was going to be the other way."
Jumping
up and down now, raising my hand... “Hey Steve, I knew!”
Truthfully, you’d have to brain-dead and out-of-touch, if you
thought the public was going to embrace that car. The Freestyle
has imagination and styling, the Five Hundred is boring.
Good Bye
A solitary tear ran
down my face splashing in the snifter of Louis XIII cognac
sitting next to the keyboard as I read the words. It seems that
the Pontiac Aztek is being phased out and replaced with the new
Pontiac Torrent sports wagon. As many of us fondly remember the
Aztek was once named the most-appealing SUV in its class by
inscrutable and irrefutable J.D.
Power and Associates alleged research.
In March 2001, in an article titled
To Boil a Frog, I wrote the following...
And the new winner is…
(Tearing open the envelope) “The Pontiac Aztek”. It all started
four years ago years ago when I wrote an article about how
butt-ugly the redesigned Ford Taurus was. AND NOW…after four
unchallenged years of undisputed rule the Taurus falls to a new
contender. This survey was scientifically conducted. I asked
twenty inner-city kids with their hats turned backwards…nineteen
to one agreed that although the Taurus was extremely repulsive,
the Aztek was certainly one ugly son of a bitch deserving of the
title.
...some fool told me
that they were projecting 70,000 units in the first year.
They’ll be lucky if they can find Dealers who are strong enough
to push 25,000 of these pigs off the lot. The car (Or whatever
the Heck that thing is) reeks of “Propeller Head” engineering
influence. It’s so supremely “Geeky”. There’s just something
about The Pontiac Aztek that screams out to me… “Shoulda been a
Saturn.”
And then in
another article titled Fire & Rain, December 2001,
I wrote the following...
A little blurb in a recent article
hit me as being a little funny…it said that the Pontiac Aztek
had won a beauty contest…sort of. Well, I had to read on. It
seems that the Pontiac Aztek rated at the very top of the very
top in J.D. Power and Associates recent prestigious (barf)
awards in the category of performance-execution- and layout. I
am talking the most prestigious glass trophy money can buy. You
see I had accidentally and evidently erroneously gotten the
false impression that the Pontiac Aztek was actually one
bastardized, goofy-looking, ugly son-of-a-bitch. I would like to
apologize and thank J.D. Power and Associates for pointing out
that; evidently, their research has proven beyond a shadow of a
doubt that most people actually believe the Aztek is beautiful.
I humbly stand corrected.
Power for Sale
Speaking of J.D. Power and
Associates...did you see where they were considering selling the
company? No joke, really. It seems like Peter Marlow, who is
one of the senior partners, said something about they needed to
raise money to stay competitive. Some speculators feel they
could get as much as $400million for the company. For those of
you who are not familiar with J.D. Power and Associates, they
sell little glass trophies that companies can use in their
advertising.
When I read the headline that said
J.D. Power for sale, I said “So, what’s new about
that?”
You know, maybe I can talk to Mike
Roscoe about the possibility of DEALER Magazine buying J.D.
Power and Associates and turning it into a research firm. That’d
be cool...we could make me the president and then I could pal
around with Keith Crain.
I heard it on CNN first and then I
read it again later in USA Today...it seems that my Escalade is
the most frequently stolen car in the country with more than
20.2 per 1000 being stolen. On the other end of the spectrum,
the least frequently stolen car was a Saturn. Who’d a guessed
that?
In
March 2002 I wrote an article titled... Laissez Les Bon
Temps Roulez! (Let the good times roll) Talking about
the 2002 NADA Convention, I wrote then...
The Gods were on the floor.
Bob Lutz from General Motors walked by the booth and I said…
“Hey Bob, did you know you’re one of my personal heroes!”…To
which he replied laughing… “That’s a heavy responsibility Jim.”
Well Bob,
I just saw the pictures of the new Buick Crossfire...say it
ain’t so!
The
concept car was bold and imaginative...this thing is just
another old tired re-skinned Buick Regal. Don’t tell me General
Motors hasn’t got the balls to step out there with radical
designs...look at Cadillac.
What’s
going on here? First we stick the valuable brand-equity heritage
of the GTO nameplate on the wrong car...obviously the wrong
car...AND NOW... what in the hell is this? Some mistakes should
be so obvious they never make it into production. Ford has the
Five Hundred and now GM has the Crossfire.
Just had
to smile when Automotive News said that Lutz is speculating on a
$100,000 Cadillac limited-edition super-luxury car. I can
definitely see it. As a matter of fact, you know I love
Cadillac...if the car is right, I’ll own one.
After the
all too predictable failure of the ultra-luxury segment cars,
the Mercedes Maybach and the Rolls-Royce Phantom, it would be a
bold move for Cadillac to move into the basement of this
segment.
Four
years ago when DaimlerChrysler announced a $300,000 ultra-luxury
sedan, I was quick to inquire as to what these people were
smoking. The original high-flying projection was to sell 1500
units annually...then adjusted downward to 800 units...then,
reality check, now they are feebly hoping to come out of this
year with 600 sales...I am thinking 400-500 maybe.
The
Rolls-Royce Phantom (owned by BMW) was optimistically shooting
for 1000 sales this year BUT, who woulda guessed, they are
creeping into November at right around 500 units worldwide.
Of course
the Maybach sticker price ranges between $318,000 and $370,000
(evidently nicely equipped) and the Phantom stickers at
$324,000.
One of
the trade publications quoted a Rolls-Royce spokesman as saying
they were hopeful to sell more of them after the Islamic
holidays. Get this; these alleged fools are counting on rich
Arabs to pull their bacon out of the fire.
Back to
Lutz and the $100,000 Cadillac...it’s doable. As a matter of
fact I think you’ll see a lot of competition in that price
segment, most notably Lexus, BMW and Mercedes.
The new
STS is out, and frankly it’s a Hell of a car but it needs some
work too. If it’s going to be the current performance-luxury
flagship, it needs more pizzazz and jagged styling. It’s almost
as if General Motors got so radical with original Evoq stealth
styling that they’ve scared themselves backwards and stopped
taking chances with design.
Back in the August issue in an
article titled The Day After Tomorrow, I wrote...Chrysler...damn...all
of a sudden these guys are hot. You know I love Wolfgang
Bernhard and I am laughing till tears flow down my cheeks at the
absurdity of ousting this eccentric genius. The Chrysler 300
Hemi is Bernhard's baby...he is 100 percent totally responsible
for the resurgence...as in electro-shocked a dead heart back to
life...of the Chrysler brand. Now, we all have heard DCX is
trying to seduce him to come back to run Chrysler North America.
This guy is valuable and he'll have no problem landing a top
executive position wherever he wants to land.
I was
sort of hoping Wolfgang would land with General Motors to
replace a retiring Bob Lutz someday...maybe Ford...but, I’ve got
to admit, I was really hoping he wouldn’t end up at Volkswagen.
I have often referred to VW as the Detroit Lions of the
Automobile Industry. You can always count on them to drop the
ball in the Red Zone. Volkswagen has these spurts of brilliance
that always seem to crash and burn with self-inflicted wounds
borne of monumental arrogance.
Now, I’m
not saying Bernhard’s anybody’s darling either for that matter.
He’s got his own special breed of ego and arrogance (I can
relate to that). But, this guy’s got genius and talent that
makes no excuses for his “My Way or the Highway” mentality.
He’s
trying to eat an elephant here. One thing you can be sure of is
that he’ll shake things up in the traditionally constipated
culture at Volkswagen. Will he piss some people off? I hope so!
Let’s face it? Volkswagen is a safe-house for underachievers. My
question is...does Volkswagen CEO, Bernd Pischetsrieder, have
the testicular fortitude to stand up to the heat this guy is
going to generate?
Does
Wolfgang have another Chrysler 300 Hemi up his sleeve? I think
this guy’s got endless imagination and he’s in tune with what
they’ll buy. I predict he’ll have some exciting radical new
concept cars mocked up and published before the spring car
shows.
Of course
he’s got to deal with the toughest, most overpaid, whiny-assed,
out-of-control union in Europe...he’s got to cut a lot of
entrenched fat...Volkswagen has quality issues...and VW dealers
aren’t all that happy either.
In the
short-term he’s committed to blowing out 5000 dead-weight white
collar employees and cost-cutting $5 billion in operations.
Renegotiating with the union, freezing salaries and taking back
entitlements; it’s a man-sized job.
When it
comes to Wolfgang, I am a raving fan. Let’s face it; he’s my
kind of guy...in your face comin’ right at ya. The man is a
showman with big cajones.
AND, I’ve
just gotta think he’s got it in for Jürgen Schrempp and the
gang. Something tells me it’s going to be personal. Don’t be
surprised if he doesn’t go heads up with Mercedes in some
segments. He’s a man on several missions with some scores to
settle and things to prove.
And then
there’s the issue of stale product and some downright stoopid
miscalculations like the VW Phaeton and the Touareg ($3800 on
the hood and still can’t give em away).
Way back in December of 2002 I wrote an article
titled...Invasion of the Body Snatchers. At that
time I wrote, in part...
I was expecting it to come in at
somewhere around $40,000. Coffee spewed out my nose when I read
the headline in Auto Snooze...Volkswagen to launch $96,000
Luxury Model.
I wrote about this one more than
a year ago. At the time I was enthusiastic that Volkswagen was
getting into the game. What in the hell are these people
thinking about here anyway? We’re talking about a 12 cylinder
gasoline engine top line luxury car. The Phaeton is a two or
three ton land yacht coming from the same folks who bring you
the Beetle for heaven’s sake. The name Volkswagen literally
means “people’s car”, you know “folks-wagon”. Who is going to
admit they drive a $96,000 Volkswagen?
Of course, consider the source.
Isn’t this the same company that insists on calling their new
SUV “The Touareg?” Even though they have received numerous
complaints from North American dealers about that allegedly
idiotic sounding name... “Touareg”...those wacky Germans are
doggedly sticking with it. I said it sounds like some moldy
infested unidentifiable thing you’d discover in the back of your
refrigerator.
Well, guess what...The Phaeton and
the Touareg are albatrosses hanging around Volkswagen’s
corporate neck.
First of all, let’s look at the
Phaeton. I called it two years ago...let me look for an
appropriate word here. How about “Idiotic”?
Now, we have $10,000 dealer cash and
the 2004’s are advertised at fire sale prices. They even tried
offering Mercedes and BMW owners 24-hour test drives...nothing
is working. All of this was predictable with certainty. Why were
these people so unable to see it? Same thing with the Touareg...I
just don’t get it. Remember, I have always said my predictions
are so accurate, not because I am so brilliant but more so
because some other people are so damn stupid.
Mitsubishi? Still in the toilet and
fighting the swirl. I’m sure he’s a decent sort of guy but I
always smile when I hear their marketing guy is named Ian
Beavis. I just picture this cartoon character standing there
going... Heh Heh Heh Heh Hee Hee Hee! Truthfully, I think
Finbarr is doing a heroic job and yes, I do believe there’s a
fighting chance they’ll pull through. The Ace in the Hole here
is the Japanese Government. Somehow if it ever actually gets to
crunch time, I think they’ll bail them out.
Over the
last several years I’ve written a lot of speculation about the
impact the Kirk Kerkorian case will have on the future of
Daimler-Chrysler. Well, we’re getting down to crunch time. The
decision is in the hands of a Federal Judge in Delaware as to
whether or not Kerkorian will be awarded $3 Billion in damages.
It’s not
so much the magnitude of the settlement should he prevail as it
is the fact that Jürgen Schrempp exhibited such perceived
ineptitude when he bragged openly that it was always a takeover.
Schrempp is under increasing pressure in Germany, at war with
the board and stock holders over a multitude of issues. This
case might be the straw.
Saturn
...reinventing itself...again
General
Motors top executives are now saying that they plan to realign
Saturn to the north of Chevy and Pontiac, just south of Buick in
the slot that used to be Oldsmobile.
Saturn
General Manager Jill Lajdziak (whose last name counts 50 points
in Scrabble) is excited about new product and new design
emanating from a liaison with Opel Designers in Europe. Well,
I’ve said it repeatedly; new product is never going to save
Saturn.
Most
recently my company has been working with Saturn dealerships in
select markets training the sales people and managers and
adjusting flawed processes. We are showing some incredible
increases in sales and profitability...without sacrificing
integrity. There’s more to selling cars than clapping and
singing a little song at your customers.
GM is
about to sink at least another $2 billion into what has been a
documented “Black Hole” for more than 15 years. You people need
to learn how to sell cars.
The article in Detroit news was
titled...
McQueen, Mustang ride again
If you build it, they will
come...Well, isn’t that what I’ve been saying for years? If you
build great exciting, imaginative, quality cars...they will
come.
Guess what, if you haven’t already
seen it by the time this article comes out, Ford and J. Walter
Thompson advertising have come out with an incredible television
spot using a computer reincarnated Steve McQueen to advertise
the new Mustang.
With advanced computer magic,
McQueen lives again, walking out of a cornfield similar to the
characters in the movie Field of Dreams and drives
off in the new Mustang.
McQueen and the Mustang go together
because of the association with the 1968 movie Bullitt
where he drove one of the greatest movie car chases ever filmed
on the streets of San Francisco, matching a 1967 Mustang GT
against a Dodge Charger.
Ford bought the right to bring
McQueen back to life on screen from his estate...I assure you he
would not mind. That chase scene was the essence of what McQueen
was all about. He’d be proud. The car is worthy.
Well, it’s after midnight on a
Sunday night in Atlanta. I leave tomorrow for two days
consulting in Tampa and then I’m off to speak to a 20-group in
California. (I’d love to speak to your 20-group)
Zach just came home about an hour
ago while I was sitting here writing this. He called me from his
cell phone in the garage and asked me to come up for a minute. I
took a break and went upstairs.
He wanted to show me some pictures
of stripe packages you can put on the Mustang...and he got some
new floor mats he wanted to show me. Yeah, the kid reminds of
myself nearly 40 years ago playing with my first Mustang. As I
walked up the steps I turned suddenly and stared hard at the
dash. He has another new accessory that I hadn’t consciously
noticed at first glance. It sort of hit me as I walked up the
steps. Evidently Zach has saved up enough money to buy himself a
new radar detector. Oh well...chip off the old block.
If you wish to discuss this
article with other dealers, or with the author, please go to the
"Discussion Forums" at
www.DEALER-magazine.com and enter the "Dealer Advocate"
forum.
Jim Ziegler is the president
of Ziegler Supersystems, Inc.
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