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The Lifetime Value of a Single Customer

By Jim Ziegler, CSP



Let's begin by imagining a local "Hair Cut Emporium." Let's say that the owner's average customer spends about $12.00 per visit. Now, let's pretend the customer revisits the shop every six weeks. If the average American family lives in their immediate neighborhood for an average of seven years; then the value of losing one of his average customers is about $725.00 over the lifetime of their business relationship.

Of course, if that's a family we're talking about with several small children who are also getting haircuts, the lifetime value of the business just went up to $2200 to $2300 dollars.

Repeat business from existing, past customers will always be cheaper and more efficient than soliciting new business from strangers...and a lost customer is an earthquake.

You cannot view your customers as a single, one-time transaction. No business can afford to allow a single customer to stop doing business with you without making an all-out effort to keep them.

What does it cost to get a new customer? What can you afford to give them to earn their business the first time and then what can you afford to give to get them to stay with you?

Could you imagine a restaurant spending advertising budget to get a customer through the door and then having them only eat there one time? Of course not, the value of a customer is in the repeat business. Once they arrive, the main reason you want to dazzle them with superior service is because you need valuable word of mouth advertising, which compounds the value of your original advertising as well as the repeat business.

Can a restaurant afford to spend as much as $100 in advertising to get each new customer through your doors for a $50 meal? The only way that would even begin to make sense is if you can be statistically certain they will continue to come back, at least twice a month, for the seven-year average they will probably live in the neighborhood. The lifetime value of each customer's business justifies the higher cost of quality advertising.

The intangible multiple of increasing business through good word-of-mouth advertising increases the value of a single customer exponentially.

This is true in retail sales to the public as well as business-to-business sales applications. I'm willing to spend a lot more to get a new customer because I've calculated the lifetime repeat value of their business. This is only valid when I have customer retention processes in place.

A basic philosophy in keeping customers for life is to be able to identify exactly when customers stop doing business with you. If you can find out why they left, then you can invent ways to recapture their business immediately before they establish other loyalties to your competitors.

Recently while watching late night television, I heard the average American has an immediate circle of influence of about 250 persons. Truthfully, I don't know where the number came from, or if it's even valid, but let's pretend for just a moment that it's an accurate statistic.

Using this factoid folklore math as a basis...an angry customer has the mathematical potential to become a nightmare. While we're still in the pretend mode here, let's also pretend one of your angry customers has told half of the people they know about a bad experience they had with your company. Now, let's imagine those people only told half of the people they know about the bad things they'd heard about your company. Now, repeating third-hand, embellished information, those people tell the story to only ten percent of the people they know.

Congratulations, you've just potentially blown off 406,376 customers. That could equal the population of a small country...and now, theoretically, they all hate you. One bad experience has the potential to piss off a lot of people you never met...and never will because of it.

Of course, that's humorous and exaggerated but it does hammer home the point. In reality, any amount of bad word of mouth is devastating, especially since most of the people who hear it probably live within a couple of miles of where you do business. One customer badmouthing your company becomes a viral infection spreading throughout your community. The reason you go to extremes to satisfy them is not only to get their business back (I would usually be just as happy if they never came back) but I want to go overboard to make them happy, at any cost, to neutralize them...to shut them up. Great word of mouth won't always necessarily grow your business but bad word of mouth will always kill you.


Contact Jim Ziegler at 800.726.0510